Labour source: "Vindictive" Lakenham campaign run by UKIP

August 15, 2008

Although I am fairly sure that both Keith Driver and Mary Cannell are pretty zen about the latest batch of “Spotlight” leaflets doing the rounds in Lakenham slamming the performace of the Labour council and government (see my post below), it seems that Labour high command are less satisfied with them and it seems an all-out witch-hunt is now underway to find the culprits. As the leaflets are anonymous and carry no imprint, they may struggle.

But I am now told by a very senior Labour source that they now strongly believe it to be the work of UKIP; or at least individuals within UKIP anyway with or without party permission. Let’s be clear; I’m not aware they’ve done anything illegal but Labour are clearly spooked by this method of campaigning.

The answer may lie in a conversation I was having with a fellow (non-Tory) Councillor this week. If the county elections go ahead as planned next year, then Lakenham will be one of a number of crucial seats for Labour in Norwich. If the county elections follow the pattern of city elections, the Labour group at county could be heading for wipeout and third place on the council. Don’t forget Labour currently hold the county divisions of Wensum (now solidly Green at City level), Mancroft (ditto), Bowthorpe (all 3 City seats are now Tory held) and Catton Grove (where the Conservatives hold 2 of the 3 City seats). So, what’s special about Lakenham? Firstly it is the seat of their County Leader Sue Whittaker but secondly it was won by the LibDems last May with a half decent majority. Whittaker may look rather nervously at all this – UKIP may be no electoral threat, but their anti-Labour campaigning could tilt the electoral wind against her. So for the health of the Labour Party in Norfolk, the “vindictive” leaflet is keeping some at Labour HQ awake at night.

UPDATE: Of course! A friend reminds me … whenever Labout elect a leader at county hall there is the usual debate about which urban area the leader comes from – Norwich, KL or Yarmouth. Norwich Labour are very determined that they should provide, as the county capital, the leadership and the City were thrilled when Whittaker got the job from Kings Lynn North & Central Councillor Irene MacDonald a while back. If Whittaker loses her seat, Norwich Labour are concerned that the top job would revert to a non-Norwich Labour Councillor within just a few years of them having obtained it. The obvious successor to Sue Whittaker is Bowthorpe’s Gail Harris … but given the drubbing Brenda Ferris got in Bowthorpe in ‘08 you wouldn’t bet on Harris holding on either. So Norwich Labour are fighting for Whittaker to hold on for more than just party pride – they are doing it for city pride too. Mind you, the Labour Group at County post-2009 may not be worth leading!


Cameron shoots Brown’s last fox

August 15, 2008

There must be seething Ministers and the sound of smashed Nokia’s across Downing Street tonight with the news that Tory Leader David Cameron will be visiting war-torn Georgia. Mean a lot to the average voter? Perhaps not, but it will mean a lot in Brown’s Bunker …

The massive advantage that the ruling party has is, well, being in power. A Prime Minister should strut his stuff on the international stage wherever and whenever possible and not, for example, hide in the dark to sign important international treaties. A Prime Minister should judge the national mood and do just enough of this to look statemanlike without ignoring the “home front”. Actually, I mean a good Prime Minister should do that. It is something that the Leader of the Opposition just can’t do. He can do photo calls outside of Tesco, he can deliver a speech to the CBI and he can appear on the Today programme. Hence whenever a Leader of the Opposition gets a sniff of international back slapping he takes it and whafts it around all over the place (the Cameron and Obama stuff was plastered all over the party branding for ages). But if a Leader of the Opposition is snubbed (Michael Howard was famously not allowed in the White House) then you know you are in trouble. The World Stage is the only place Brown can go where he knows Cameron can’t follow … not so much the last, as the best, fox he has.

The Cameron trip is a brilliant move because it kills that fox dead, it raises the Cameron profile both home and abroad as inevitably our next Prime Minister and makes Cameron look af if he was born for this stuff. The pictures of Cameron abroad (for example, with troops etc) always look refreshed and civilised – Brown always looks uptight.

But this is more than just Cameron’s usual PR savy stuff; he’s been allowed to get away with it and that’s what’ll be the biggets regret at No.10. Cameron has been clear and direct on Georgia – the Prime Minister and his Foreign Secretary (who are, no doubt, in constant contact !!!) have dithered and been slow in their response. Apart from being morally right, it is also politically right to be fast out of the traps on this issue. Would Blair or Thatcher have held back – would even John Major have done so? No, but this goverment looked like the rabbit in the headlights on Georgia. So a power vacuum is created and Cameron has filled it now. Whatever Labour do – even if, say, Milliband goes go out there – they’ll be walking in Cameron’s footsteps.

This is great for the Tory Leader and another disaster for the government team. And when they look at it all, and are honest with themselves, they’ll know they are to blame.