LibDems giving up on Norwich South?

July 9, 2008

An interesting slip in this piece on LDVoice today by a former LibDem Agent in Norwich where he laments the rise of the Greens in the City.

He says:
And the Greens are becoming better organised at first-past-the-post politics. They managed 22% and a close third behind Labour and the Tories in Brighton Pavillion at the last election. And at local government level in Norwich, where the Lib Dems ran City Hall as recently as 2006, they are now the official opposition to Labour. All of the Green gains have been deliberately targeted at Lib Dem expense, and all in what should have been a strong Liberal Democrat Parliamentary prospect at the next election.

Notice the tenses there — it should have been a strong parliamentary prospect but now, persumably, isn’t. Recently the EDP said that the Green gains and the strength of the Tory recovery locally made the seat a “4 horse race”. One City Councillor even predicts that the LibDems may come 4th.

Interesting times, wondering if the LibDems can hold it together.


Unitary: Still more questions than answers

July 7, 2008

I am not going to go into automatic gloating mode; I don’t think this decision is the end and a lot could change – oddly enough the same warning I gave Labour after the previous unitary announcement, so I’m going to take my own advice.

But on the face of it, thinks look very bad for Morphew and his Green / LibDem allies on this, as the Boundary Commission says its preferred option is a full county unitary (including Lowestoft) that effectivly abolishes Norwich City Council.

City Hall have invested a lot of time and money into this; often in the face of strong opposition from us Tories, the wider public, parish councils and fellow authorities. If it all falls by the wayside – or worse, produces a result that is the opposite to the original unitary theory of an urban focus – then heads will roll at the council and rightly so. Already tonight what is clear is that Councillors from all parties are at each other’s throats – again. But whilst the Tory split on the issue has been clear for some time, the vicious manner in which Labour and the LibDems have turned on each other has surprised even me.

The media have also taken a hit; the EDP has been running a pretty consistent anti-unitary line (it sells well in the county) but the Evening News will have to choose its editorial line pretty carefully tomorrow to avoid looking rather outdated and simplistic. It has been running an almost minute-by-minute response today and the EEN should be congratulated for their depth of coverage.

Also the question being asked is if City Hall can stop the leakage of support; Cllr Ramsay pointed out tonight that the Chamber of Commerce have backed away from supporting a greater Norwich and now believes that “bigger is better” and we ought to have a “Norfolk wide lobby”. Many groups will back the winning side; City Hall have I think just days to stop this leakage.

We had a Councillor briefing tonight and the feelings amongst my colleagues in other parties was still utter surprise; I think that the searching for a reason “why” will start tomorrow. One source said to me that they don’t know how Norwich managed to throw it away from this position; I think that when we re-read the BC report in the light of tomorrow morning, we may once again be left with more questions than answers.


And they’re off …

June 9, 2008

After a few weeks off from campaigning, my letterbox has now become the new frontline. Last week we recieved the latest Green newsletter, proclaiming victory on all fronts in Town Close (well done them); they got in first too. Then yesterday we recieved a copy of “Town Close Matters” Conservative leaflet – of course I’d seen it before but it’s always nice to recieve something you agree with 100%. And today, MP Charles Clarke had a glossy leaflet come through the door, persumably by paid deliverer as it was bundled up with other leaflets. I note the subtle change from red to green printing colour … a political message there by any chance?

Both Tory and Green leaflets led with the local election results; Clarke’s was full of glossy words and pcitures of him around the City promoting government policy. No mention of VED or 42 days. I wonder why?

The Greens also covered the post office closures, 20mph zones, City college redevelopment and their failed plans for an all-party exec. The Conservative one also featured an article on unitary, law & order and the cost of living. Charles Clarke went on crime, CCTV, park rangers and cycle paths in Whittlingham. I’d be interested in your views if you have recieved these leaflets.

This evening I have been finishing the wording for a new Conservative campaigning project and tomorrow I am addressing a street meeting about crime and anti-social behaviour.


A 4 party solution for Norwich?

May 8, 2008

For those out of the loop the current situation on Norwich City Council is:
Labour 15 (n/c)
Green 13 (+3)
LibDem 6 (-5)
Cons 5 (+2)

Hence nobody has anywhere near a majority and with a coalition not functioning, the Green Party has finally spoken about the elephant in the room – who will now run the council – saying they want an executive “of all the talents” with a 4 party administration. This idea has been shot down in flames – certainly by 2 of the parties involved – amongst a big debate about the future of the council now.

Does Labour have the strenght amongst their 15 strong group to support a talented 8 man Exec plus fill 3 key committee chairmanships? How far will the opposition Councillors fill jobs within the political system? I don’t know (for once!) but I do think it’s odd that we’re almost a week after the poll and we haven’t yet really thrashed this through.

Norwich people have voted for a patchwork quilt of political parties in the City, we now have to make it work. How we do that is vitally important and we ought to get down to working out how sooner rather than later.


Big Shake Up in Norwich

May 2, 2008

I will summarise the results below (I’m really too tired to even think at the moment) but some clear themes emerged from the night that I think the media may miss.

Theme 1: Positive campaigning won – Conservatives and Greens stayed positive throughout and both made net gains. Some of the Labour literature was shocking during the campaign and the stories we have heard of LibDem canvassing were next-to-vile.

Theme 2: Labour’s been robbed of a frontbench. They’ve lost Housing Executive Member Julie Westmacott – to be fair, one of the few members with a real grasp of complex Housing issues – and also Deputy Leader and Executive Member for Culture Brenda Ferris. I know Steve Moprhew wants to reshape his top team but I cannot see where the talent is coming from.

Theme 3: The true scale of the LibDem collapse. Yes, they lost Mancroft, Town Close, Mile Cross and Thorpe Hamlet. But the true scale of their loss comes in the study of the results in detail. They came FOURTH in Bowthorpe, Catton Grove and Crome. They lost the seat and plunged to FOURTH in Unviersity, Mancroft and Wensum. They went from first to third in Mile Cross; they also went into third in Nelson. In Sewell Ward they came FIFTH. The Conservatives came second in Mile Cross and Crome and came third and above in all but one seat.

Bowthorpe: Con GAIN from Labour, removing Labour Deputy Brenda Ferris on an 8% swing and with a big majority.
Catton Grove: Con GAIN from Labour, with roughly the same majority as last year
Crome: Lab HOLD but with a much reduced majority
Eaton: LibDem HOLD with a good majority but a much increased Tory vote
Lakenham: LibDem HOLD, a surprise result but caused by a collapse in the Labour vote
Mancroft: Green GAIN from LibDem with a big majority
Mile Cross: Lab GAIN from LibDem, with a sizeable majority
Nelson: Green HOLD, even with losing a thousand votes this was safe Green territory
Sewell: Lab HOLD with a much, much reduced majority over the Greens
Thorpe Hamlet: Green GAIN from LibDem, with the irony of turning a 1 vote LibDem majority into a 501 Green majority
Town Close: Green GAIN from LibDem, easy result with big majority
University: Lab GAIN from LibDem, but with the Greens in a keen second place
Wensum: Green HOLD, easily.


Who is Samir Jeraj?

April 6, 2008

Apparently he is the Green candidate for Town Close Ward, where I live, and must be odds-on to be our next councillor, especially as the LibDems seem to have given up on a ward they used to regard as safely theirs.

However, I do chat to a lot of my neighbours and nobody knows anything about him. How long has he lived in Norwich? What does he do for a living? What’s his background?

He could just be a political newcomer, and you can’t be criticised for not having a political background if you are new to the game, but it is noticeable that their newsletter which was delivered today makes no reference to who he is or what his background is.

I should, of course, delcare an interest. Of the 4 candidates going for this seat, the Conservatives have by far the most well known – businessman Tak Man-Li, who went to school at the Hewitt and whose family still live and work in the ward. I think people should know about their candidates and the Greens, who are normally very good at this, don’t seem to have given out much information. People want to know.


Look East couldn’t get it more wrong

April 3, 2008

“The Greens are the largest opposition party at City Hall with more than 20 Councillors.”

Spot the errors. The Greens are not the largest opposition party and they have exactly 10 Councillors. Indeed having 20 would anyone the majority party with an overall majority. So who could have spouted this nonsense? An A Level politics student? No, step forward BBC’s Look East.


The Budget Debate

February 20, 2008

Yesterday was the longest and hardest council meeting of the year; both physcially in terms of the lenght and stress of the meeting but also because of the issues involved. Nobody in the council is an expert on every section of the budget and, despite our claims, no party leader has a total grasp even given all the extra meetings we’ve had on this recently. Our meeting saw some robust exchanges and some honest views being set out – given that most of the budget was thrashed out well in advance, god knows how long we’d have been there if we hadn’t of done that!

Firstly the Leader of the Council, Cllr Morphew, moves the budget framework; that is the high level strategy direction that the budget will follow. Cllr Morphew couldn’t resist turning it into a kind of two-year review of his administration; incuding battering the poor LibDems – the first of many batterings and their party must have left the chamber feeling very down indeed. Cllr Morphew set out changes to the financial regime, improvements in housing, CCTV extension … in fact, I accuse dhim of sounding like a Stalinist Minister reeling off the tractor production figures. Outgoing LibDem Leader Cllr Hereward Cooke took an open shot at Cllr Morphew but seemed to be leaving his best fire for later. LibDem Cllr Carl Mayhew (Mile Cross) joined us in abstaining on this item, against his own party decision to vote in favour.

Then the budget itself is moved. Cllr Alan Waters, Executive Member for Finance, made a decent and amusing stab at justifying the budget – including some very amusing powerpoint slides and a pre-emptive attack on other budget amendments. My only feeling was that Cllr Waters spent too much time knocking the alternatives rather than saying why his budget was the best. Then came the LibDem budget amendment…

… they wanted to have a council tax rise of 2.95% and give an extra £32,000 to Visit Norwich Ltd – and to pay for it, they’d cut the wardens programme by £92,000. I have to say on first hearing this I couldn’t believe our political luck. The wardens are popular, hard working and successful – the LibDems wanted to sack some of them in favour of tourism???

Cllr Cooke seemed like a man who knew his time was up and hardly flourished on his last big occassion. He put forward the amendment but did so in a quiet way, almost hoping this might take the edge off the atatcks from other parties. A shame – Cllr Cooke is, despite his party’s difficulties, one of the best orators on the council. This should have been his moment to really make one last stand before standing down. It feel flat; not a disaster but without any spark. The same can’t be said for his Deputy, Cllr Brian Watkins (Eaton), who led with a clenched fist in a passionate defence on VisitNorwich. Cllr Watkins has long been an advocate of a strong tourist strategy and he clearly had the bit between his teeth. However, a good speech went bad when he slipped and said the LibDems wanted to give “32 million” to VisitNorwich rather than just £32,000. Oh dear.

The LibDem amendment cut little ice with other parties; I’m afriad I couldn’t sit by and watch all this go through without making a fuss. Whilst I’m sure Labour would be happy just to let the votes roll through, Cllr Ramsay accused the LibDems of “throwing good money after bad” and suggested they were writing “a blank cheque” for VisitNorwich.

I was rather less kind. I said it, “looks like a visionless effort from a leaderless party … it has the desperate smack of a party who knows its time is up … we’re dealing with a failing organisation who don’t seem to be able to fulfill their purpose, wandering lost and trying to find some measure of support (that’s the LibDems, not VisitNorwich) … perhaps this is about undercutting Labour, well I tell you they aren’t going to undercut the Conservatives; we’ll deliver tax cuts because we believe in tax cuts … thousands raised, thousands spend, thousands wasted but only now do the LibDems realise that tax is too high … no ideas, no vision, no leadership and quite frankly, no hope!”

Cue LibDem groaning and plenty of cheers; I’m told even clapping from the public gallery. The LibDems lost their amendment 7 votes to 17 with 11 abstentions; including their very own Cllr Mayhew.

Then came our amendment. We would have;
Reduce spending on Unitary by £500,000
Use £300,000 to reduce council tax
Use £200,000 to support community projects through the People’s Fund

In my speech, I said that this “was not an attempt to de-rail unitary – believe me, we’ve tried that – …now is the time to say that the project has gone on long enough and cost more than enough … other districts will be paying out just £300,000 so why can’t we just spend what everybody else will … this isn’t about unitary, it’s about unitary without the waste, it isn’t about council tax, it’s about a signal that this council won’t accept ever higher bills, this isn’t about extra funding for community projects, it’s about the best use of our limit resources.”

I have to admit to not knowing quite what the opposition arguements were. Cllr Waters was so nice and charming that I totally lost what he was saying. He did use a typical Labour trick of plucking a figure out of the air and claiming we’d cut service. Errr, no. There’s only 2 cuts – the unitary budget and then everyone’s council tax bills. We were then told that council tax bill cuts would only benefit the middle classes. I’m sorry, does everybody else not pay council tax? Finally Cllr Waters assured us that the rise was only 3p per week anyway. Well, that’s OK … if it wasn’t my 3p in the first place and I can still spend it better than the council can.

The other-Cllr Little (Green, Town Close) made an incoherant and bizarre speech of which I can remember little (no pun) other than being accused of electioneering. I’m surprised that Cllr Read could contain himself, but it took Cllr Collishaw (Con, Catton Grove) to come to my aid. I then surprised the council by revealing that I am a conservative, favour a small council and tax cuts; one mans electioneering is another man’s political principle.

After our sound defeat (31 votes to 3!) Cllr Ramsay, Green Leader, clearly felt his own side had missed their chance so tried to come back to our amendment which, needless to say, I had to stop using a Point of Order. Come on, chaps, let’s do this right!

In the final vote on the budget, it was left to Labour and the Conservatives as the other groups chose to sit it out. The final result was 13 votes to 3; we voted against Labour’s 3.7% tax hike.

A good debate, well natured and largely good fun. We all had our say, votes were taken and I suppose the will of the city was heard. Roll on next year…

… one pleasing footnote was that during another topic, I managed to force te delightful Cllr Lubbock to storm out of the chamber. Half a dozen other councillors congratulated me afterwards, saying they had always wanted to do the same thing!!!

More tomorrow … a friend in the galery wrote some pen portraits which I will publish.


May poll strategy U-turn for LibDems

January 27, 2008

The vast majority of political hacks in and around the City expect the LibDems to get a damn good kicking at the May elections. However, I am reliably informed that the yellow peril have come up with a cunning plan to avoid such a fate … targeting.

The LibDems were once the Kings of Targeting … knowing where to put their resources, being able to move on from seats they would win to the marginals and knowing when the pull out. But in recent years they have missed this point and have slogged around Nelson furiously (getting destroyed by the Greens) whilst at the same time losing out in Lakenham but a couple of dozen votes.

So, I’m told, they have decided that some wards are beyond their reach and others are worth the fight. Amazingly they seem to have given up against the Greens whilst believing that the fight is still on with Labour. So, Thorpe Hamlet with a 1 vote LibDem majority is set to be all-but abandoned whilst University Ward, with a 600-odd Labour majority, is to be targetted. Similarly, Town Close and Mancroft are to be thrown to the wall. Then in Lakenham and Mile Cross are to be the scenes of the LibDem final lines of trenches. Interesting stuff; a realisation that the Greens haven’t yet hit their peak of popularity or a realisation that Labour can still be beaten in Norwich and that Brown isn’t “top cat”?

I also know that this decision – probably driven by the new professional LibDem team who have taken over – hasn’t gone down well with the Councillors, and their activist friends, who aren’t going to get support.

This strategy could also frustrate Labour; they had planned on the LibDems slinking away in those wards freeing them up to defend other seats and also chase the new Labour fascination – Wensum Ward.

If the LibDems sort their game out, it could yet be a fascinating May election.


LibDem member quits when he finds out what the party stands for

December 21, 2007

Today’s postbag was good. Along with a mixture of Christmas cards from party figures I have never heard of came a letter from a gentleman in Norwich who told us about his decision to resign from the Liberal Democrats.

He said he had been a member of the party since the beginning but had concluded that as a group they are now totally pointless (his words, not mine). So what had caused this resignation? A Huhne voter fed up? A disgruntled party activist?

No, for the first time in many years he looked up the LibDem policies on various issues. On top of a long list of policy errors, he says it was their decision to support Congestion Charging in Norwich that was the final straw and you could almost feel the passion of the ripped up membership card in the way he wrote.

This gentleman isn’t crossing the floor to Labour or defecting to the Tories. He wants to step back from politics and says he’ll look again next May to see who deserves his vote. Good on him. I always like to hear of open minded voters, and maybe one day he’ll vote LibDem again.

On a similar note, of fluid politics, whilst out canvassing around Newmarket Road recently I met a couple who told me they were switching from LibDem to Green. Apparently a LibDem had tried to convince them this would mean letting a Tory in via the backdoor. They didn’t care at all, because they weren’t worried about electing a Conservative. That sort of change is all down to Cameron ; such an attitude would never have existed under Howard or, say, IDS.

There’s a lot of churn on the doorsteps of Norwich at the moment. The next election is wide open.